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This is a place where SportsPoolsOnline.com gives you insight, tips, analyzes various betting trends and sports bets, so that you can use this data to make a more informed prediction of your sports pool betting.
The internet sports betting arena is full of advice, tips and claims. It is important to sift through these claims and present to you the true trends, which are backed by data and experience. While we have taken considerable care in evaluating sports bets and sports tips SPOLP™ cannot be held responsible for the outcome. |
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Posted on : Sep 30 2011 6:37PM EST |
The San Diego Chargers are no longer a mystery. We faded them successfully last week due to the obvious: They are amongst the most talented teams in the league, but they have mental lapses during games, don't take care of the ball and scramble to try and win every game. They opened the season with a deja-vu of last season, allowing a 103-yard kickoff return, and things appear to be the same in Charger-land. Phillip Rivers has caught the virus as well. He's clearly one of the top QBs in the league, but has more errant tosses (6 INTs) than he does TD passes with (4). Miami has yet to find the win column and at 0-3 their season is already on the line. A loss here and the season is gone, so I expect a big performance out of the Dolphins in this game. And, when you have a high-profile team like San Diego facing a winless team, you can be sure the line is juiced. What should be a 6-point line here is moved to the key number of 7 thanks to public perception. Miami has been a very solid play-on team when taking to the road where they have posted an 11-3-1 ATS mark for their backers in their last 15. The trick on the Chargers is to fade them early. The last five seasons they have started 1-3, 4-7-1, 2-5, 2-5 and 0-3 this year ATS, for an early season start of 9-23-1 ATS. They have followed that by catching fire, finishing 29-9-2 ATS. The Dolphins have their backs to the wall, and have been great in this spot on the road at 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a winning team. And, since Tony Sparano took reins, the Dolphins are 14-5 ATS as a road underdog! And San Diego just can't be trusted. Take Miami plus the points here.
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Posted on : Sep 30 2011 6:37PM EST |
These clubs played in the opener last season in a game won in New York by a defensive and physical 10-9 count. A lot has changed since then. Mark Sanchez was still trying to figure out defenses and threw for a grand total of 74 yards. This season he appears to have turned the corner and has better weapons, a growing confidence and better results. His numbers are vastly improved by 10% in completions and about a yard and a half per pass. The Jets were able to grind out over 100 yards rushing in that game, and with a markedly improved QB, they should keep the tough Ravens defense guessing. Joe Flacco found a new prize target in rookie Torrey Smith last week, and that combo is scary if the Ravens now have a downfield threat. But one game does not a career make. Time will tell if that was a fluke or something we'll see more consistently. Either way, I expect that won't be the case here with Darrelle Revis having something to say about it. This sh ould be one of those games that turns into a battle for field position, much the same as last Monday night's 18-16 Cowboys win over Washington. In those kinds of games, the points loom large, especially when getting more than a field goal. The Jets are usually better as an underdog where they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19. After their weak showing last week vs. Oakland, I expect the Jets to be fired up and playing their best game of the season. The Ravens haven't been able to follow a big win of 14 points or more with another good performance, weighing in at 0-5-1 ATS in their last six when following a two TD or better win. Play on the Jets plus the points.
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Posted on : Sep 30 2011 6:36PM EST |
The Packers caught fire late in the season last year and rode the wave of momentum right to a Super Bowl win. At the end of the season, they looked unstoppable. Their offense has picked up right where it left off a year ago with Aaron Rodgers carving up defenses like a Thanksgiving turkey. The problem is their defense, which hasn't hit its stride yet. Everyone knows that this team can score, but despite averaging 33 points per game they have yet to win a game this season by more than 10 points thanks to a defense that has allowed 25 points per game. They have actually only won two of their last nine games by double-digits. This is a perfect spot for a letdown by Green Bay. They are off a game on the road vs. their division rival Chicago Bears, and they head to Atlanta next week. The Broncos have found a way to stay in every game. They are just 1-2, but all three games have gone to the wire and ended within a field goal. Add in the fact that they played two division leaders, and this will be their third. The Packers have historically shown disinterest at home as a heavy chalk where they are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 as a 10.5+ point favorite. Orton and the Broncos offense can find enough points here to keep the game close. The Broncos have played 11 of their last 17 games to the OVER and Denver has now gone 9-1 to the OVER in their last 10 vs. a winning team. Meanwhile the Packers are 53-26-2 to the OVER vs. a losing team in their last 81. And, the last 19 times the Broncos have faced an offense that scores 29+ points per game, they are 16-3 to the OVER! Take Denver and the OVER in this one.
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Posted on : Sep 30 2011 6:35PM EST |
Not many people projected Buffalo as the only unbeaten team in the AFC at this point. The Bills have emerged as a serious contender at 3-0, and a lot of that has been achieved with an emerging Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB. He is posting a career best in QB rating and completion percentage and has his lowest interception percentage of his career. But, will they be able to avoid the letdown here? They exhausted themselves last week coming back to beat New England. That was a hugely important statement game for the Bills who had lost 15 straight to the Pats. They did not. Now what? They must travel to Cincinnati which can't motivate them. Cincinnati was picked to be a bottom-dweller this year, they have a rookie QB instead of Tom Brady, and the Bill has beaten them eight straight times, covering the spread in seven of those. Bottom line, it will be very hard for the Bills to bring their "A" game here. This game will be a true test for the B ills both mentally and physically. The Bengals are deceptively better than they appear and have been a force on defense ranking No. 4 against both the run and the pass. Fitzpatrick will also be challenged as the Bengals have recorded nine sacks this season. Cincinnati's rookie QB had some problems against San Francisco last week, but remember that he looked crisp and poised in weeks one and two. He'll be on and off this year but he can certainly hold his own. This line is inflated off a huge Buffalo win and all the attention given to them. The Bengals defense will offer more resistance than the Bills have seen all year. Take the points (buy to +3.5 if you can at -120, or take them at +3 points at +100).
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Posted on : Sep 30 2011 6:35PM EST |
Seattle's defense looked very good last week, but looking inside the game shows some reasons to expect otherwise this week. The Cardinals' lone weapon is Larry Fitzgerald because Chris Wells was on the sidelines, leaving the Arizona offense with only one playmaker and a suspect running game. That allowed extra attention given to Fitzgerald without a lot of risk of paying the price. Things will be different this week as Sesattle must contend with a trio of playmakers in Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez, as well as a QB that can deliver. Atlanta came here last year and posted 34 points. A suspect Falcons defense allowed 18 to Seattle. If these teams put up 46 points in this meeting last year, why are 8 less expected this year? The Falcons have been an OVER team at 10-3-2 to the OVER in their last 15. Seattle has also been an OVER team vs. NFC foes, where they are 10-2 to the OVER in their last 12. Seattle is 30-15 OVER in their last 4 5 games following an upset win. That includes a 15-4 OVER mark if the upset win came at home, as it did last week. Over the past two seasons, Seattle is 13-4 OVER in the underdog role. Take the OVER here.
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